According to the international Monetary
Fund the working age population in sub Saharan Africa will reach about 1.25
billion by 2050. Moreover, Africa’s median age is projected to rise modestly
from about 18 to just 25 by 2050. And thanks to expanded access to education
this is the best-educated generation.
The
size of Africa’s working population is increasing the continents productivity
potential at a time when advanced economies in North America and Europe have to
grapple with a declining and aging population. Similarly, emerging economies
like China is already experiencing decline in its workforce. Hence, Africa is
really the future.
From
Abuja to Dar es Salaam, from Addis Ababa to Maputo, you can feel the burst of
enterprise and a surge of human endeavor. Our streets are vibrant alleys of
exchange. Young school leavers and university graduates are pounding the
tarmac, ever hopeful that some day they will find a job. A burgeoning
population of relatively well-educated potential consumers has ignited the belief
that Africa is on the cusp of prosperity.
As
I said last week, the proponents of the Africa Rising saga are neither naïve
nor reckless. This belief is buoyed the undeniable progress that is visible
across the continent. But progress exists side by side with great suffering
among Africa’s youth who live in the direst consequences.
While
Africa’s youth make up between 70 and 80 percent of the population today, they
make up 100 percent of Africa’s future. Today Africa’s endure poverty,
unemployment, poor access to health and education services with remarkable
dignity and extraordinary resilience. Certainly, such dignity and resilience
cannot be guaranteed over the next 5-10 years.
The
unprecedented youth bulge demands that sub Saharan Africa must create at least
18 million jobs a year for the next 20 years. Failure to create sufficient jobs
could result in grave economic, social, political and environmental problems.
Hence, responsive policies, including investments in early childhood
development, adolescent health, education, technical and vocational training
and structural transformation are needed to take advantage of the youth bulge.
The
proportion of Africa’s youth who are not in education, employment or training
has reached alarming proportions. The problem is that African governments think
it is somehow normal or acceptable. Large masses of youth who think they are
sufficiently educated but excluded from participating in the economy constitute
a tinderbox for social upheaval. Is the stage set for an Africa Spring?
It
is important to understand that Africa’s youth are more than just a potential
workforce. While Africa Rising is undeniable, the continent will not reach for
the stars until the youth bulge is transformed into a veritable engine of innovation,
enterprise and creative growth. Africa sorely needs its youth.
Certainly
governments alone cannot solve the youth crisis. We need a real coalition here,
bringing together business and civil society along with government to grapple
design policies and actions to unshackle and emancipate Africa’s youth to
participate and own a piece of the Africa Rising dream.
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