A new report by Oxfam, a leading
international relief agency, warns that climate change will increase the frequency
of large spikes in global food prices, leading to more hungry people around the
world.
Besides climate change, rapid population growth, higher per capita incomes, rapid urbanization, changing diets in developing countries and rising demand for biofuel feedstocks, are exerting unprecedented pressure on the global food system.
The
worlds poorest, a majority of who live in sub Saharan Africa, are especially
vulnerable to raising food prices because they spend up to 75% of their income
on food. According to the United Nations Food and
Agriculture Organization (FAO), the price surges of 2007/2008 resulted in an 8%
increase in the number of malnourished people in African.
According to the OECD-FAO
Agricultural Outlook 2012, food production needs to increase by 60% over the
next 40 years to meet the rising global demand for food. To meet the soaring
global demand additional food will need to come from a combination of increased
productivity and expansion of farmland.
Globally, the scope for expanding
farmland is limited. But with 60% of the world’s unused arable land, Africa’s land
is a hot commodity. Foreign investors are scrambling for Africa’s farmland. The
pace of purchase or lease of Africa’s is so furious that is now referred to as
a “land grab”.
Of the 83.2 million hectares of land earmarked for agricultural investment worldwide, 56.2 million hectares are in Africa. The land grab was in part fueled by the food and financial crisis of 2008, as corporations and investment funds began to focus on the profitability of agricultural commodities.
For
Wall Street-based private equity firms, the motive is profits. For countries scrambling for Africa’s farmland – Saudi Arabia,
India and China, the real value is water. Saudi Arabia does not lack land for food production.
What’s missing in the Kingdom is water. Indian companies are doing the same
because aquifers across the sub-continent have been depleted by decades of
unsustainable irrigation. Africa’s land grabs could be the biggest virtual
water export in history.
The
huge land deals in Africa involve large-scale, commercial agriculture, which
will require large quantities of water and mineral fertilizers. Nearly all of the
foreign land deals are located in Africa’s major river basins; the Congo, the
Niger, and the Nile Collectively, three of the main countries in the Nile basin
– Ethiopia, Sudan and South Sudan – have already leased about 8.5 million
hectares. Uganda has leased a total of 868,000 hectares to investors from
China, Egypt, Singapore and India.
The
Kenya government has granted Tana River Authority (TARDA) tenure rights to
40,000 hectares of the fragile Tana Delta. TARDA, in a joint venture with
Mumias Sugar Company seeks to establish sugarcane plantations on the fragile
delta. A second company, Mat International is in the process of acquiring
30,000 hectares of land in the Tana Delta. Bedford Biofuels, a Canadian company
could secure a 45-year lease on 65,000 hectares in Tana River District, which
includes access to water resources, to produce biofuels. In Lake Victoria, Dominion
Farms was granted a lease on 7,000 hectares in the hydrologically vital and
ecologically fragile Yala Swamp.
These
land grabs could hurt smallholder farmers and could undermine national food
security objectives. In Kenya’s Yala swamp, where Dominion Farms have a 25-year
lease, local communities have lost access to water and pasture for their
livestock. According to residents of the Tana Delta allocation of land to
TARDA displaced them to a sub-optimal land, with poor access to water and
suitable land for agriculture.
The
wave of land grabbing is nothing short of an ecological and economic disaster
in the making. There is simply not enough water in Africa’s rivers and water
tables to irrigate all the newly acquired land. The ecological and social costs of foreign
led commercial agriculture are socialized while the benefits are privatized by
big industry.
Africa
must learn from Asia. Pakistan flooded its way into the Green Revolution. The
mighty Indus River irrigates 90% of the country’s crops. Today the Indus River hardly
flows all the way into the Arabian Sea. Hundreds of thousands of hectares of
farmland are no longer usable due to waterlogging or salinization. Similarly, India drilled and pumped
its way into the Green Revolution. Today India’s annual abstraction of ground
water for irrigation is 250 cubic kilometers per, about 100 cubic kilometers more
than can be recharged by rainfall.
Transformation of Africa’s
agriculture must be predicated on sustainable use of natural capital,
especially water. Improving productivity and efficiency of hundreds of millions
of Africa’s hardworking smallholder farmers must be central to this
transformation. Investments in industrial scale agriculture must balanced by
equitable flow of benefits to smallholder farmers, reducing their alienation
and encouraging their participation through access to technology, credit, inputs
and markets.
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